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I read this article on the interweb, not sure how i feel about it. Since it was posted last week, the Mike Lowell theory can be tossed. I think trading garza would be a poor idea, but sending him to the NL is the best option if it has to be done. I have always been set on playing kubel in LF as oppsed to DH. He seems to respond better when playing in the field. I can see the reasoning for letting Silva walk, if we can keep him on the cheap do it, but we have enough pitching depth where we shouldn't overpay for a 4th/5th starter. Going back to Garza for Bay I'm not totally sold on Jason Bay. Its a good righthanded bat but at what cost? One of the top young pitchers in the AL not named Joba. This article assumes we keep Johan so even sans Garza the rotation looks pretty good. I guess in summary there are really two directions the team can go: Trade Johan, don't trade johan. How the team is built for next year really depends on that move. We could field a contending team either way in my opinion. Without Johan we could add Kemp in CF, some decent prospects to fill holes in the minors and eventually in the Majors. Use the money we save from santana, hunter and silva to lock up current players and fill holes via free agency. I kind of like that road better. If we lock up santana we might have a Kevin Garnett situation on our hands. A great player, but again at what cost? Being unable to surround him with enough talent to win due to his contract. Santana would be locked up so we would most likely lose Morneau and Cuddyer down the road and in about 3 or 4 years we are winning MAYBE 1 out of 5 games. I say once the winter meetings come around we shop santana and pretty much take whatever we want from the dodgers which is totally possible. I can see us getting 4 very good young players, 2 or 3 of which could very well be major league ready. Looks like BS is going to have baptism by fire. Best of luck to him.
Authors:
RobertShort
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I agree with all your points here. I don't like Bay nearly enough to deal Garza for him, especially if we didn't get 2-3 good prospects out of the deal along with Bay. And I want Kubel to get his shot in 2008. I think he'll be better than Cuddyer.
And I also like the trade-Johan route. KG is a good parallel ... and he played every game.
What I'm surprised you didn't mention is Lowell. I don't think there's any way he'd be available for just $9 million per year. Come on. After the last few years, he's definitely shown he's underpaid, and someone's going to throw a LOT of money his way. Like $15 million per year. We're not going there. We need to get a 3B, but if we do it on the free agent market we have to go to the second tier (ie, below A-Rod and Lowell), and I don't know who's there.
And something that everyone's ignored thus far is the possibility of the Rule V draft in December. That's where we got Santana in the first place. There has to be a good player in AAA somewhere that's not on the 40 man and has the requisite number of years in the minors. I wouldn't mind throwing some young 3B a bone with a Rule V pickup. (And with TR off the GM duties, he might have more time to find someone.)